Digitalisation, globalisation and credibility are shaping the work of interest representation. It has become more and more apparent that the term "public affairs" is very unspecific, misleading, and partly useless for the global discussion. In addition to the traditional term “lobbying”, the term "global governmental relations" is increasingly used to describe the work of interest representation in an international context, but also in Europe and Germany. Increasing complexity, internationalisation as well as the acceleration of information flows and decision-making require new methods of analysis, dialogue formats, refined instruments and strategy offers as well as resilient networks from political consultants. In addition, in many democratic systems we are experiencing an increasing loss of trust in politics and its decision-making processes. It is also in the responsibility of interest representation to counter this development. Against this background, we can identify four current trends in the discussion on "Global Governmental Relations".
Computer-assisted models are getting better and better at producing simulations of complex future developments. The increasing availability and technical capability for data processing offer the opportunity to improve the modelling of social processes. At the same time, however, this also shows the challenge of every prognosis. The quality of any forecast always depends on the underlying data and assumptions. The less information is available and the more complex the underlying mechanisms are, the more difficult it is to produce reliable forecasts.
On Sunday, 26 September, elections for the Bundestag took place in Germany. The election results constituted a substantial historic defeat for the governing Conservatives (CDU/CSU). At the dawn of the 16 years long era of Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU), Germany now finds itself at a turning point.
The 2020 US election ended with former-Vice President Joe Biden winning the presidency over the Republican incumbent Donald Trump. Against this backdrop, it is important to re-examine the key dynamics of the transatlantic relations and discuss possible implications of the outcome. For us at Miller & Meier Consulting, however, one thing is clear: We can only secure economic prosperity and tackle global challenges if we work jointly to revive the close US-European alliance.
The second wave of the Coronavirus pandemic has severely hit Europe and the US. To cope with the spread of the virus restrictive measures are being (re-)imposed in Europe, arguably for the sake of public health and safety. Meanwhile, governments and policymakers seem to have quickly adapted scientific arguments to justify those rules. This has been widely interpreted as a new way to concentrate power in their hands. Thus, the political response to the COVID-19 crisis is not only driven by power dynamics, but the current situation is also used to leverage the virus to expand and cement power. Because it is not the virus to which we can attribute power. In fact, the real power always lay with politics rather than science or disease – and it continues to do so.
All over Germany the church pews are empty, from the smallest village chapel to Cologne Cathedral. Not because Germans are losing their faith, but because of a state ban on contact. Orphaned parishes and the prohibition of communal worshipping are just two examples of how massively the federal and state governments have restricted basic freedoms in the fight against Covid-19.
It is important for business leaders to understand how to play an active role in the power play of politics instead of just being a bystander.
The refugee crisis puts Germany to the test. At the practical level, we have to find a fair distribution mechanism and integrate hundreds of thousands of traumatized people.